The administrative law judge concluded that employee's accident at work on August 29, 2006, was not the prevailing factor causing her current, debilitating lower back and radicular pain complaints, or the diagnosis of failed back syndrome. Instead, he found that the June 2009 fusion surgery successfully treated employee's low back and radicular pain referable to her work injury. In reaching these determinations, the administrative law judge expressly credited the opinion from the treating surgeon and employer's medical expert witness, Dr. James Coyle, over the opinion from employee's medical expert witness, Dr. David Volarich. As further discussed below, we discern no compelling reason to overturn the administrative law judge's choice to credit Dr. Coyle over Dr. Volarich with regard to the issue of the causation of employee's current complaints of ongoing, debilitating low back and radicular pain.
However, we do note that certain of the administrative law judge's comments are susceptible to a reading that suggests he relied, in part, upon his own administrative experience in resolving the issue of medical causation involved in this case:
In my 21 years as an administrative law judge, I have not seen a case such as this where a back surgery has been unquestionably successful for over fourteen months, and then turns into a situation where, nineteen months post-surgery, the patient has $8 / 10 to 10 / 10$ pain every day despite taking high doses of narcotics unless there has been a failure of the fusion. (That is clearly not the case here; the fusion is solid.) What happened fourteen to nineteen months post-op to explain this extreme dramatic turn of events? There is nothing in the extensive testing to explain it.
Award, pages 10-11 (emphasis in original).
As much as we appreciate the administrative law judge's unquestionable expertise and his astute factual analysis in this case, the Missouri courts have long cautioned that an administrative law judge's own opinion (or ours) regarding a complex issue of medical causation (such as those involving lumbar spine pathology/symptomatology) does not constitute competent and substantial evidence upon which we may rely in rendering our award. See, e.g., Wright v. Sports Associated, 887 S.W.2d 596 (Mo. 1994). For this reason, we must disclaim the above-quoted commentary.
Again, we have carefully reviewed the opinions from both Drs. Coyle and Volarich. As noted by the administrative law judge, employee specifically stipulated that she is not seeking any compensation herein on the basis of any possible psychiatric diagnosis or condition. After careful consideration, we deem employee's preexisting depression to be as equally likely a source of the recurrent pain and radicular complaints employee first identified over a year after Dr. Coyle released her from his care, as any purely physical sequelae from the work injury itself. In other words, it appears to us that it is no more likely that employee's present symptoms are